Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 984.914027 1108.547723 1243.202773 1400.992802 1581.129603 1780.716413 2019.089313
2026-01-25 805.527460 976.228357 1177.822256 1434.532628 1754.249284 2141.272503 2648.213187
2026-02-01 698.820257 891.437499 1132.126160 1457.180324 1888.062960 2444.285528 3224.191143
2026-02-08 620.611728 824.693434 1091.510624 1469.420790 1996.574852 2714.194708 3779.363935
2026-02-15 562.166620 773.529345 1060.785604 1484.727343 2102.954004 2984.768041 4361.534969
2026-02-22 519.410644 737.220566 1043.667359 1512.987336 2225.518713 3286.138187 5021.132294
2026-03-01 466.289700 679.648297 988.897931 1477.922985 2246.873545 3435.099769 5460.671758
2026-03-08 418.431237 624.555572 931.397137 1430.832438 2241.539658 3537.803065 5832.966085
2026-03-15 377.715261 576.164837 878.896249 1384.934892 2230.938196 3627.373749 6189.494239
2026-03-22 361.783171 564.444050 881.567595 1426.628708 2366.554756 3971.106732 7028.774836
2026-03-29 342.712859 545.823643 871.150489 1444.836141 2462.924951 4256.218895 7797.169871
2026-04-05 323.775140 525.661702 856.150676 1453.138783 2541.650351 4516.801898 8551.380313
2026-04-12 305.370654 505.327141 839.832956 1458.797814 2618.491145 4786.888005 9371.540835
2026-04-19 293.496499 495.155004 840.022138 1494.027924 2754.019337 5183.939623 10508.602356
2026-04-26 280.823816 482.445179 834.467872 1517.718074 2869.357279 5554.084782 11642.727674
2026-05-03 267.643912 467.702075 823.876035 1530.520271 2964.022393 5892.680700 12757.345313
2026-05-10 256.033391 454.834663 815.517011 1546.529779 3066.298042 6258.153901 13987.359561
2026-05-17 247.115980 446.197119 814.212265 1576.089585 3199.352299 6704.479506 15476.236450
2026-05-24 230.672351 422.173208 781.731642 1539.412839 3187.265180 6829.580374 16202.193591
2026-05-31 214.139187 396.822119 744.786845 1490.163158 3142.495919 6875.109319 16734.106806
2026-06-07 199.094173 373.355236 709.873011 1442.168282 3095.621015 6910.208930 17244.432074
2026-06-14 195.080288 371.289631 717.460606 1485.767039 3261.087236 7467.100861 19234.331751
2026-06-21 188.720230 364.070427 713.996989 1504.808178 3371.406454 7903.608329 20968.409653